matataku_hoshi: (Asa and Mihoko in The Magician's Melanch)
[personal profile] matataku_hoshi
[profile] bluerevue posted a meme in her journal asking our predictions about who would be top star in five years.  My reply got so long-winded that I decided to just post it here.  I'm not going to do musumeyaku because the top musumeyaku five years from now may not have even entered TMS yet.

Tsuki:

Kiriyan will most likely have retired (or will be at the end of her run) in five years.  Assuming she’s already gone (*tear*) I have this bizarre theory that Kimu is going to be transferred to Tsuki.  If that’s the case, then she would probably be top by then.  I honestly can’t tell what’s going on with Ahi and Sonoka these days and I’m not sure if they’re on the top star track anymore.  Possibly Morie as nibante, then?  Not sure if she would still be too young.  Maybe a new transfer?
 

Alternatively, I wouldn’t be surprised if Mirio makes a rapid jump.  If she becomes Kiriyan’s nibante, then it’s possible Mirio would be her successor.  Or she could end up as Kimu’s nibante in my universe.

Hana: 

Okay, this is a hard one.  It could be Yuuhi, but Yuuhi will be getting on in her years by the time Un-chan finishes her run.  (Assuming that they give Un-chan the full five shows or whatever).  Not that I don’t like older siennes, but you get the idea. 

Not sure how much they’re promoting Sou these days and I’m not sure whether or not she’ll move up.  Miwacchi for nibante, maybe?

Hoshi: 

I think that Chie will eventually make top.  However, if I was Hankyu I wouldn’t necessarily promote her right after Touko.  I think Chie is very talented, but I don’t like to see otokoyaku promoted to top star before they have had time to mature.  I would give Chie a few years to hone her talents and then promote her.  I guess I would say a mysterious transfer for top then.

At the same time, I don’t really see Tatsuki You or Suzumi Shio as being on the top star track any more.  If Chie becomes top, then I’d guess Kazu as her nibante.  If a mysterious transfer becomes top, then Chie would be her nibante. 

Yuki:

In my bizarre universe Kimu has been transferred out of yuki and into tsuki.  I’m really hoping that Yumiko makes top after Mizu.  She’s a bit of a late bloomer, but she has gotten promoted a lot lately.   

Since in the Beccaverse Kimu has been transferred out, Kaname would be her nibante.

Sora: 

I know a couple of people have mentioned the idea of Micchan moving back to tsuki as Kiriyan’s nibante, and then becoming top after Kiriyan.  This would work out well for tsuki, but I feel like sora needs Micchan more.  (And besides, if both Kiriyan and Micchan were on the stage at the same time, possibly doing top star/nibante slashy things, I think my brain would explode). 

So five years from now would be either towards the end of Tomu as top or the beginning of Micchan as top.  At the moment sora is kind of heavily loaded around the sanbante/yonbante position and I wouldn’t be surprised if someone like Tomochin or Eriko transferred out.  Well, whichever one didn’t transfer out would be Micchan’s nibante.  If Tomu was still around then Micchan would be her nibante.

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