matataku_hoshi: (Yuuhi "huh")
[personal profile] matataku_hoshi
Exhibit A: Graph covers.  I had to go as far back as 2002 in order to find siennes on a Graph cover who never made top (current non-top siennes don't count since they're still on their way up).  These were Asazumi Kei and Yumeki Noa...it seemed to be something of a wakate (young person) year, and their careers are always unpredictable I suppose.

Exhibit B: Graph pin-ups. They seem to have started in 2003.  Before then it was a special fold-out calendar with whoever was on the cover that month.  I can't find anyone who is not a current/retired top star or a current sienne on their way to the top.

Exhibit C: Talk Deluxe.  Sometimes this includes otokoyaku members all the way down to yonbante.  Sometimes it's just the the top and the nibante.  Whenever the sanbante isn't included, it seems to be a bad sign for their career.  To give an example, both Tatsuki You and Ryouga Haruhi were third from the top, but weren't included in Talk Deluxe.  Tatsuki You has retired, and Ryouga Haruhi will be doing so in December :(

Point 1: We Can't Seem to Get Through a Post Without Mentioning Micchan at Least a Little. Micchan was announced as December's Graph pin-up.  She also moved up to the A-side of the desktop calendars, which is where the tops and nibante tend to be (12 months in a year - 5 top stars - 5 nibante = two extra spaces.  Kimu has one, apparently Micchan has the other).  Nothing is a guarantee in this world (and especially not in Takarazuka Land), but these are good signs. 

I wouldn't say I resented the wakate (Masaki, Mirio, Tomomin, etc. etc. etc.) for getting covers before Micchan (as it seemed to be the theme for this year), but it always felt a little strange.  The announcement of the Graph pin-up to me shows that the company still is interested in her I never really thought she was in danger, but lately a lack of momentum is just as dangerous as anything else.  Honestly  I go back and forth on how I feel about Micchan as seriously star-track.  But since it's out of my control I will take the good points of whichever way it goes <3

Point 2: Miwacchi. Now what I don't get is Miwacchi's recent treatment.  Don't get me wrong, I'm fond of her.  But what is she doing on a cover, and with someone six years younger than her no less?

Miwacchi has been stuck in the hanagumi traffic jam for the last few years, but with Yuuhi transferring out she seems to have finally moved up to sanbante.  She even has a Graph cover, even if it's one shared with someone much younger than her.

...and yet she wasn't included in the Talk Deluxe along with Matobun and Sou.

I don't get it.  Is the company serious about her or not?

Point 3: Yumiko and Kimu. For all that I've tried to make the point that people on Graph covers almost always make top, I worry about Yumiko.  She doesn't appear on any calendars past April, and there is speculation that she's getting old.  I really hope I'm wrong :(

Also, Mizu probably only has a few years left in her at the very most.  Yumiko would seem like the logical choice as a successor, but if she retires, who is yukigumi's next top star?  Kimu is promoted enough that I could see her jumping up a la Osa, but then that dashes the idea that she would move into tsukigumi to be Kiriyan's nibante.

I worry about Yumiko retiring not just because I like Yumiko and think she deserves it, but also for Kimu's sake.  Kimu gets flak sometimes for being a fast-moving up-and-coming young thing.  Not everyone agrees with me, but I really think she is that good.  She's an incredible actress, has amazing stage presence, and is a pretty good singer to boot.  I hate to think of the backlash were she to be promoted over Yumiko.

But Hankyu seems to enjoy throwing us off, so it's not like things will turn out even remotedly how I'm thinking.  But I do attempting predicting XD

If you got through all of that, you get a brownie :D

Date: 2009-10-22 04:09 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fyrie.livejournal.com
After seeing Zorro, I could see Mizu going next year. She has that kind of look of someone who is enjoying it but wouldn't mind looking onwards. My bets are on mid-late 2010 for her departure, and Yumiko having a spell as Top with Kimu as Nibante :)

Date: 2009-10-22 04:53 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] muffin-song.livejournal.com
Yeah, the top star position seems to really takes its toll on siennes...I can't blame Mizu if she does want to leave now.

Date: 2009-10-22 04:55 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fyrie.livejournal.com
Isn't the average Sienne lifespan about 3 years at the top anyway? Unless you're OHana, of course...

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